Wednesday, February 11, 2015

Stunning Elizabeth Warren poll results

Will you help MoveOn get this breaking news in front of reporters and influential Democrats this week and commission more polls right away?
Dear MoveOn member,

We commissioned a poll about Senator Elizabeth Warren's standing in critical presidential primary states, and the results are stunning: When Democratic Iowa Caucus goers and New Hampshire primary voters get to know Elizabeth Warren, they want her to run for president.1

Using small-dollar contributions from MoveOn members, we turned to industry leaders at YouGov to conduct this poll, and this is what they found: Voters love Senator Warren's personal story, her status (as Time put it) as a "new sheriff of Wall Street,"2 and, importantly, her major legislative proposals—lowering student-loan interest rates, expanding Social Security, breaking up the big banks, and holding Wall Street criminals accountable.

This poll shows unequivocally that a majority of voters in the two critical states of Iowa and New Hampshire are what we'd call "moveable"—they're open to supporting Sen. Warren if we can tell them what she stands for. Realistically, the results don't say that Sen. Warren would win today—but they show that Sen. Warren has a real opportunity to build the levels of support she would need to win in both states if she decided to run.

Now, we have to keep doing the hard work of convincing her to get in the race. We can make these results send shockwaves through the political press. And through some very strategic targeting—we can get them in front of real influencers in Washington and people close to Sen. Warren. But to do that, we'll need everyone's help.

Can you chip in $3 to help us make the most of these incredible poll results?

Yes, I'll chip in.

Let's dig into the numbers a little bit.

Our results show that, after these likely caucus goers and primary voters learn about Elizabeth Warren's biography and issue positions, not only do a stunning 79% say they want her to run, but, in both states, Sen. Warren ends up leading all other potential Democratic candidates in a head-to-head ballot question.

Here's more:

  • 97% of survey respondents across both Iowa and New Hampshire agree with Warren's call to lower student-loan interest rates.

  • 92% agree with Sen. Warren's call to expand Social Security benefits.
  • 91% agree with her statement about breaking up the big banks.

Those numbers prove that Elizabeth Warren's vision is powerfully resonant with the voters she would need to win the Iowa caucuses and New Hampshire primary—especially the young voters who'll be critical to any victory in 2016. Sen. Warren holds more than a 20-point lead in a head-to-head matchup with other potential candidates among respondents aged 18-29, once they learn about her.

Thanks to these results, we know that support for a contested primary is nearly unanimous among all age groups, and that a core segment of the winning Obama coalition—young people—are particularly excited about Sen. Warren.

Our job now is to capitalize on these results—and we can do just that if enough members chip in today. Will you chip in $3?

Yes, I'll chip in.

This polling shows that Elizabeth Warren has a clear chance to obtain the support she needs to win—and that her story and message resonate deeply with voters.

By continuing to stand up to Wall Street on behalf of America's working families and working to create a more level economic playing field, Sen. Warren herself could have more than a fighting chance of earning the Democratic nomination for president—and we're intent on proving that to her.

Will you chip in $3 today?

Yes, I'll chip in.

Thanks for all you do.

–Nick, Ilya, Erica, Ben O., and the rest of the team

P.S. Want to see the detailed poll results? Click here to read our full memo and results.


1. "MUST SEE: Poll Shows Big Opening for Elizabeth Warren in IA, NH," MoveOn, February 11, 2015

2. "The New Sheriffs of Wall Street," Time, May 13, 2010

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