Wednesday, September 14, 2016

Trump pulling ahead in battleground states

Donald Trump is SURGING in battleground states right now—including in the key state of Ohio, where a major poll out today shows Trump with a terrifying five-point lead.

Dear MoveOn member,

Donald Trump is SURGING in battleground states right now—including in the key state of Ohio.1 No Republican has won the presidency without winning Ohio, where four of the last five surveys have Trump leading or tied.2,3

In fact, a Bloomberg poll out today that was conducted by Selzer & Co.—named the "Best Pollster in Politics" earlier this year—shows Donald Trump with a terrifying five-point lead in Ohio.4,5

A CNN poll released this afternoon also shows Trump leading Clinton by five points in Ohio.6

And data guru Nate Silver—who predicted with 100% accuracy which candidate won each state in 2012—now calls the overall race "highly competitive" and today compared Clinton's dwindling lead to the polling trends leading up to the U.K.'s Brexit vote.7,8

Grassroots organizing is more essential now than ever to combat the Trump surge, which is why now is the time to double-down on our ambitious field plan to get out the vote by knocking on more than one million doors in eight swing states, including Florida, Pennsylvania—and, of course, Ohio.

That's why we're asking today if you can make an urgent contribution of $2.70 to help support our organizers in the field.

Click here to chip in right now.

Here's the truth: This race has tightened dramatically over the last several weeks in every single battleground state.9 We would be foolish to pretend that it isn't happening.

The media isn't doing its job. They are acting irresponsibly and failing to hold Trump accountable for his ignorant—and even illegal—actions. In fact, they're spending more time focusing on Hillary Clinton taking a sick day then they are on Trump's irrational and bigoted policies or whether we can risk someone so unstable and corrupt with his finger on the nuclear button.

So we have to educate and turn out voters ourselves—one door at a time.

Right now, we're hiring more than 100 organizers to train and mobilize volunteers to knock on more than a million targeted doors in swing states to turn out progressive voters who are not yet committed to vote. In addition, we're running a nimble video production lab and organizing cultural, creative, and other innovative projects to sway the millions of voters who may determine the outcome of this election.

Can we count on you to make a contribution of $2.70 today? Your donation will help boost our efforts to stop the Donald Trump surge in the very battleground states that will decide this election.

Yes, you can count on me to chip in now.

We still have a long way to go. One poll—or even a series of bad polls—is not the end of this election. But these polls are a reminder that this extremely high-stakes election is too close to call.

If we come together in these final 54 days to organize to stop Trump and reject the deplorable (yeah, we said it) sentiment fueling his campaign, then we can win this election.

Thanks for all you do.

–Matt, Jadzia, Tzyh, Nick, and the rest of the team


1. "Election 2016 State Polls," RealClearPolitics, accessed September 14, 2016

2. "The two states that almost always predict which candidate is headed for defeat," The Washington Post, September 7, 2016

3. "Ohio: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein," RealClearPolitics, accessed September 14, 2016

4. "Ann Selzer Is The Best Pollster In Politics," FiveThirtyEight, January 27, 2016

5. "Trump Has 5-Point Lead in Bloomberg Poll of Battleground Ohio," Bloomberg, September 14, 2016

6. Tweet by Edward Mejia Davis, September 14, 2016

7. Tweet by Nate Silver, September 14, 2016

8. Tweet by Nate Silver, September 14, 2016

9. "Election 2016 State Polls," RealClearPolitics, accessed September 14, 2016

Want to support our work? Senator Elizabeth Warren says, "I'm so enthusiastic about MoveOn's smart and targeted plan to hire a network of organizers in key battleground states to mobilize and train volunteers to knock on hundreds of thousands of doors. It's bold and ambitious—and exactly what is needed to help swing Senate races, resoundingly defeat Donald Trump, and give Democrats a fighting chance to take back the House." Will you chip in to help make it all possible?

Click here to chip in $2.70, or whatever you can afford.

PAID FOR BY MOVEON.ORG POLITICAL ACTION, Not authorized by any candidate or candidate's committee.

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