Dear MoveOn member,
I’m terrified that we will lose this election.
The New York Times reported on Thursday that "Mr. Trump and Mrs. Clinton are tied."1 And it gets worse: A recent Washington Post-ABC News poll shows that 93% of Trump supporters say they are absolutely certain to vote. But only about 80% of Hillary Clinton's supporters are that committed to turning out.2
This key gap—the lower likelihood that Democrats will make it to the polls—could hand the White House to a hate-baiting narcissist who’s wildly unfit to serve.
MoveOn’s election program is tackling this head-on with a massive, person-to-person get-out-the-vote effort in the key battleground states that will decide the presidential election and control of the Senate. Talking to voters to get out the vote is proven to swing elections.3 It’s what works. That’s why I’m writing you today with a personal request.
Will you join me and chip in $3—or whatever you can afford—right now? Just click here.
Think it’s hard to imagine waking up with Donald Trump as president? Don’t be so sure. Polling guru Nate Silver now says the race has become “highly competitive.”4 He notes that this race has “echoes of Brexit,” in which a right-wing populist surge forced Britain out of the European Union.5 And he believes that "Democrats aren't worried enough."6
And there are more troubling data points: The RealClearPolitics average of the national polls shows Clinton's lead down to less than 1 point.7 And that same average of state polls shows Trump has now pulled ahead in Florida, Ohio, Iowa, and Arizona—four crucial battleground states.8
Trump got the most primary votes of any Republican presidential candidate in history. And his supporters are remaining passionate. Meanwhile, despite the engaging and substantive contest between Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton, turnout for Democrats was down in the primary compared to 2008.9
So the reality is: Trump could win. And if you don't want to wake up on November 9, the day after the election, absolutely beside yourself that the impossible has happened—that Trump is president—and if you don’t want to pull out your hair thinking about what you could have done, then will you join me right now? Just click the link below.
MoveOn has planned a massive get-out-the-vote effort in the key battleground states that will decide the presidential election and control of the Senate.
But they still need to raise $275,000 to pull it off—to support the program with more than 100 organizers and to purchase technology, materials, and other infrastructure.
It's a big number, but this is a big election—and we can get there if we all chip in. That’s why I’m asking:
It’s hard to accept that Trump could win. But it really is terrifyingly possible. And it’s necessary to accept it. Because once we accept that Trump can win the election, we can also do something about it. And what’s the most effective thing we can do? Studies show that it’s person-to-person conversations about the stakes of the election.10 That isn’t cheap. But it’s necessary. And it works.
MoveOn needs to raise $275,000 more for their battleground state organizers in this 51-day sprint to the finish line. And they need your help to do it. That’s why I’m writing you today with this personal request.
Thanks for all you do.
1. "Poll Shows Tight Race for Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton," The New York Times, September 15, 2016
2. "Clinton holds lead over Trump in new poll, but warning signs emerge," The Washington Post, September 10, 2016
3. "Lessons from GOTV experiments," Yale Institution for Social and Policy Studies, accessed September 18, 2016
4. Tweet by Nate Silver, September 14, 2016
5. Tweet by Nate Silver, September 14, 2016
6. "What Makes A Tipping-Point State," FiveThirtyEight, September 9, 2016
7. "General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein," RealClearPolitics, accessed September 18, 2016
8. "Election 2016 State Polls," RealClearPolitics, accessed September 18, 2016
9. "Trump got the most GOP votes ever—both for and against him—and other fun facts," The Washington Post, June 8, 2016
10. "Lessons from GOTV experiments," Yale Institution for Social and Policy Studies, accessed September 18, 2016
Want to support MoveOn's work? Senator Elizabeth Warren says, "I'm so enthusiastic about MoveOn's smart and targeted plan to hire a network of organizers in key battleground states to mobilize and train volunteers to knock on hundreds of thousands of doors. It's bold and ambitious—and exactly what is needed to help swing Senate races, resoundingly defeat Donald Trump, and give Democrats a fighting chance to take back the House." Will you chip in to help make it all possible?
PAID FOR BY MOVEON